Republicans Could Flip Several Important Races in This Blue State
A new survey suggests Republicans could do some damage and actually win in some typically blue states.
One of these states is Minnesota.
Alpha News and the Trafalgar Group polled 1,079 likely general election voters and found Republican Scott Jensen close to incumbent DFL Governor Tim Walz. Republicans are in the lead for attorney general, state auditor, and secretary of state.
Walz and Flanagan lead Jensen and Birk by 2.7 points, 47.7% to 45%, in the governor’s race. 4.9% of voters are undecided, within the poll’s 2.9% margin of error.
Republican Kim Crockett trails Secretary of State Steve Simon by one percent, 46.2% to 45.2%, with 8.5% undecided. Republican Ryan Wilson leads DFL incumbent Julie Blaha, 42.3% to 41.2%, with 10.8% undecided. Attorney general is the most likely position to flip for Republicans, a poll revealed. Republican Jim Schultz leads Keith Ellison, 49.3% to 45.7%. 4.9% are undecided.
The poll also indicated that President Joe Biden’s approval is low. 54.3 percent of voters disapproved of Biden’s presidency; 43.4% approved. Nearly half of people strongly disapproved of Biden, whereas 22.8% strongly approved.
The poll also asked what the state’s biggest challenge was. “Reducing crime and keeping violent criminals off the street” was the top issue for 41.5% of voters, followed by “growing the economy and creating jobs” for 21.6%.
Keeping abortion available in Minnesota was third with 18.1%. No other issue received double-digit voter support.
27% ranked increasing the economy second, followed by 24.8% who ranked reducing crime. “Fighting illegal immigration” finished third with 14.8%, and abortion got 13.9%.
In previous years, Minnesota has been a tough state for Republicans to win. Tim Pawlenty served as governor from 2003 until 2011. The last Republican state secretary and auditor were elected in 2002. Since 1971, no Republican has become AG.
Trafalgar has uncovered tighter-than-expected Republican races in blue states. Trafalgar found Republican Washington Senate challenger Tiffany Smiley trailing Democratic incumbent Patty Murray, 49.2% to 46.3%.
Trafalgar reported that Democratic New York Governor Kathy Hochul topped Republican Congressman Lee Zeldin 47.8%-43.4% in the deep blue Empire State. Robert Cahaly, chief pollster at Trafalgar Group, said the results were a working-class response to student loan forgiveness.
Folks I know the GA, WA, & NY #poll numbers are surprising but we at @Trafalgar_Group have seen a big shift in favor of non incumbents since #Biden announced his #studentloanforgiveness package. No other issue this cycle has enraged middle and working class voters more than this
— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) September 3, 2022