History Has a Lot to Say About Upcoming Elections, Here’s What History Is Indicating Now
The midterm election are quickly sneaking up on us and I think that we’re all anxious to see what the results are going to be.
Is Nancy Pelosi going to retain her power in the House? Is she even going to retain her power as a House Representative? Will Republicans take back the House and the Senate? Will President Trump run for a seat in the House? Will some of these RINOs be unseated and allow an actual conservative to fill that role? There is so much that could happen still.
Like it or not, history plays a role in some of these matters. It doesn’t directly determine what is going to happen, but history is often a harbinger of what is to come.
One example of this is with sports like football. During college football season, some friends and I choose winners of weekly games and one of the factors that we consider when choosing is previous games against the opposing teams. We actually exercise the same method during March Madness as well if the teams are playing someone that they’ve already played before.
The same works with history and elections.
As we’re all aware, Joe Biden’s approval numbers are absolutely atrocious. It’s being reported that the odds of Republicans just dominating this election cycle is the greatest it has been in a generation.
According to history, the party who occupies the White House normally loses seats during first midterm elections. Midterm elections typically feature lower turnout, and the party that is not in power receives a stronger response from its base because of the president’s dissatisfaction.
Just to give you an idea of how that looked with the last Democrat who was president, during the first midterm election under the Obama administration, Republicans picked up 63 seats in the House and 6 seats in the Senate. And Obama wasn’t nearly as bad as Joe Biden is.
Now, I must say that the climate we have is much different than what it was back in 2010. And according to Inside Elections, on average, the party of the sitting president loses an average of 30 seats over the last 100 years. The Republicans only need 5 in the House.
Like I’ve said before, if we can stop them from cheating, we’ll regain both chambers easily.