Latest Polls Spell Disaster for Biden in 2024
As Joe Biden gears up for a potential re-election bid in 2024, there are growing concerns about his diminishing support among non-white voters. Recent polls indicate that his popularity among people of color is waning, raising questions about his vulnerability in the upcoming election.
A CNN poll conducted by SSRS revealed a significant drop in support for Biden among people of color who are registered voters. In a hypothetical 2024 rematch against former President Trump, Biden garnered only 58% support from this demographic, while Trump received 34%. These numbers are a cause for concern for the Biden campaign, as they suggest a substantial erosion of support among non-white voters.
Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The New York Times, highlighted the significance of these poll results. He pointed out that while Biden is meeting his targets among white voters, his lead among non-white voters is only 58-34. This suggests that Biden is struggling to maintain the same level of support from minority communities that he enjoyed in the 2020 election.
CNN/SSRS shows Trump+1, and the underlying story is much like the other polls: Biden hitting his targets among whites, matching the 43-44% of decided major party voters he won last time, but leading just 58-34 among nonwhite voters
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) September 7, 2023
ICYMI — hopefully helpful for all of you crosstab divers in the future https://t.co/s6SgiD8nXy
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) September 7, 2023
The decline in support for Biden among non-white voters is not an isolated finding. Multiple polls and surveys have indicated similar trends, particularly among Hispanic and black voters. The New York Times/Siena College national polling over the past year has shown a marked deterioration in support compared to the 2020 election, where Biden secured over 70% of non-white voters.
These warning signs have sparked concerns among pollsters, journalists, and politicians. Pollster Frank Luntz emphasized that the Biden campaign cannot afford to take non-white support for granted. Losing substantial support from people of color could have serious repercussions for Biden’s chances of winning the 2024 election. MSNBC host Mehdi Hasan also expressed concern about the potential consequences of Biden’s declining support among non-white voters, highlighting the risk of losing to Trump due to insufficient turnout from this crucial demographic.
Another factor contributing to the erosion of support among non-white voters is Biden’s age. Recent polls, including CNN’s survey, have indicated that his age is a significant concern for Democratic voters. Nate Silver, a prominent pollster, noted that anxiety among Democratic voters centers around Biden’s age more than any other factor. This concern has overshadowed other potential issues, such as Biden’s political ideology or controversies surrounding his family.
The fact that Biden is 80 years old has voters concerned, and they worry about his ability to effectively lead the country for another term. This concern is particularly salient among non-white voters, who may view a younger candidate as more capable of addressing their specific concerns and advancing policies that benefit their communities.
The declining support for Biden among non-white voters carries significant implications for the 2024 election. Historically, Democratic candidates have relied on strong support from minority communities to secure electoral victories.